A New Hope?

09Aug07

There is much buzz surrounding the latest U.S./Israeli ‘peace push’. As a Ha’aretz editorial put it,

“empty words about a “diplomatic horizon” and barren meetings between representatives of the parties are giving way to genuine diplomatic processes and practical plans for solving the conflict.”

Certainly, the Israeli government has taken steps recently that, on the face of it, appear to indicate a desire to move towards a final peace settlement. The Monday meeting between Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas in Jericho was the first visit by an Israeli leader to a Palestinian city in more than six years. As to what was discussed there – that depends on who you listen to. In the lead-up to the summit, the Palestinian government, eager to show signs of serious progress to a sceptical Palestinian public, insisted that “final-status” issues (borders, Jerusalem, refugees) would be on the agenda. Olmert instead stuck to ambiguities about “principles” and “fundamental issues”. When pressed, David Barker, an Israeli government spokesman, admitted that Olmert and Abbas would “not be negotiating about final-status issues”. In the event, it appears that Israel got its way and that final-status issues were not discussed. As the Financial Times reported,

‘The Israeli leader made clear at the outset of the three-hour summit, their first in the West Bank, that it was not the opening of bargaining about core issues but rather talks about talks.’

This reflects the long-standing Israeli strategy of ‘endless negotiations’, whereby talks are dragged out for as long as possible without ever actually reaching a firm, clear agreement on the nature of the Palestinian state-to-be. When Olmert met with Abbas in July he was happy to talk all day about his pitiful “gestures”, but as soon as Abbas started talking about the serious issues he became impatient, demanding that Abbas “stop talking about the occupation”. As Miri Eisin, spokeswoman for Ehud Olmert, put it last month,“[t]he Palestinians want to go a lot faster”, whereas Israel prefers to go “a lot slower”. No kidding.

The basic problem is this: for political reasons, it is important for both Israel and the United States to be seen to be doing something constructive in the way of a peace process. It is important for two reasons: firstly, the U.S. is in the midst of a battle for influence in the Middle East. It is trying to rally the “moderate” Gulf states against Iran and Syria, and making moves on the Israel/Palestine conflict is part of this effort. Secondly, it is important as part of the year-long U.S./Israeli strategy of strengthening Abbas at the expense of Hamas. I’ve written about this many times already, so I won’t go over it again. Suffice to say, from the moment Hamas entered office (even before, in fact, since the U.S. helped fund Abbas’ election campaign), Israel and the United States launched a campaign to overthrow it, through collective punishment, brutal military assault (’Operation Summer Rains’) and, finally, by engineering inter-factionary violence between Fatah and Hamas. The aim was twofold: to isolate and ultimately topple the Hamas government, in order to avert the threat of a looming ‘peace offensive’, and to further split the Palestinian resistance and separate Gaza and the West Bank, in classic ‘divide and rule’ style.

Thus, the current diplomatic flurry is primarily about appearances, with the aim of strengthening Abbas politically. As the International Crisis Group reports (.pdf), the purpose of the “peace conference” President Bush has called for this Autumn is “to bolster Abbas, respond to repeated calls for a conference and fill the political void” (p. 29). It does not, as White House press spokesman Tony Snow was at pains to clarify, have anything to do with peace:

“I think a lot of people are inclined to try to treat this as a big peace conference. It’s not…

I think what happened is it was being spun up as a major peace conference where people are going to be talking about final status issues, and that is not the case.”

The reason it has nothing to do with peace is, quite simply, because Israel is not prepared to offer the kind of settlement that Palestinians would find acceptable, and to which they are entitled under international law – namely, the international consensus two-state settlement that has been sitting on the table gathering dust for some 30 years. Dr. Mustafa Barghouti, former Information Minister for the PA and leader of the Palestinian National Initiative, is mostly correct when he says,

“It seems that the parties are both turning around in the same circles. The Palestinians are trying to reach discussions on final status issues, and the Israelis are sticking to the minor issues. The Israeli hesitance to enter the serious issues…is a severe mistake…To talk about a state without addressing the borders or the relation of the state to Jerusalem is a mistake.”

It’s an accurate assessment of what is happening, but it’s not a mere “mistake”. It’s a calculated strategy designed to delay or stall serious negotiations even while pretending to engage in them.

To illustrate the gap between what Israel is saying and its true intentions, it is worth taking a look at what it is doing on the ground. If we step back from the flowery rhetoric, we find that conditions for Palestinians are as bad as ever. Those living in Gaza are suffering from a deliberate Israeli policy of collective punishment, calculated to reduce popular support for Hamas. In the sterile language of the ICG,

“Gaza is being kept on a drip of welfare support, further eroding its fledgling, market-driven and Palestinian-run economy…

An Israeli border officer was heard defining his mission thus: “no development, no prosperity, only humanitarian dependency”. (p. 25, footnote 210)

This is just a rephrasing of the policy outlined by Dov Weisglass, an advisor to Ehud Olmert, last year: “[t]he idea is to put the Palestinians on a diet, but not to make them die of hunger”. Since the Hamas takeover, Israel has tightened (.pdf) its already vice-like siege on Gaza. The UN today reported that Gaza will become “a virtually 100 percent aid dependent, closed down and isolated community within a matter of months or weeks, if the present regime of closure continues”. Filippo Grandi, deputy head of UNRWA, continued, “[f]ailure to open the crossings will lead to disastrous consequences”. He’s referring primarily to the Karni crossing, which has been virtually closed (apart from emergency humanitarian aid) since the Hamas takeover in June, in violation of the 2005 Agreement on Movement and Access (which Israel has never kept to, anyway). Karni is the primary passage of goods in and out of Gaza, and its closure has had a predictable effect on Gaza’s economy. According to figures from the Palestinian Association of Businessmen, the total loss to industry in Gaza has reached $23 million since June and if the closures continue at least 120,000 workers in Gaza will lose their jobs. Already, the 600 Gaza-based garment factories have closed down due to a lack of raw materials, putting 25,000 Palestinians out of work.

In the West Bank, despite Olmert’s pathetic “gestures” in the order of removing a couple of roadblocks here and there, Israel’s system of checkpoints and barriers has carved the West Bank into several cantons, with movement between them difficult and dependent upon arbitrary Israeli cooperation. According to the Israeli human rights organisation B’Tselem,

“In addition to the restrictions on movement from section to section, Israel also severely restricts movement within the sections by splitting them up into subsections, and by controlling and limiting movement between them.”

These restrictions on Palestinian freedom of movement are humiliating and enormously damaging for the economy. In Nablus, for example, it is estimated that Israeli restrictions have reduced business income by more than 40%. The World Bank, for one, has emphasised that “Palestinian economic revival is predicated on an integrated economic entity with freedom of movement between the West Bank and Gaza and within the West Bank”. It added that Israel’s system of road and travel restrictions in the West Bank is aimed at “protecting and enhancing the free movement of settlers and the physical and economic expansion of the settlements at the expense of the Palestinian population”. B’Tselem agrees, noting that,

“Israel continues to apply these means even after the temporary and specific security need has passed, and use them to achieve other objectives, among them controlling and regulating the movement of Palestinian vehicles to separate them from the settlers and other Israelis on roads in the West Bank, and to create a rapid and convenient road network for the settlers. In addition, this separation results in the de facto annexation of these roads by Israel .”

B’Tselem concludes that the restrictions “constitute collective punishment, which is absolutely forbidden by international humanitarian law.” Only this week, a heart patient died trying to get to a hospital, after being refused access through an Israeli checkpoint.

In the Jordan Valley, long declared by Israel to be its “security border“, the IDF is harassing and threatening Palestinians, pressuring them to leave. Amnesty International reports that the IDF is trying to force more than 100 villagers, most of them children, to leave their homes in Humsa and Hadidiya, two hamlets in the Jordan Valley. They have been ordered to leave the area “with immediate effect”, and are regularly harassed by the IDF and denied access to water. Amnesty notes,

“The Israeli army has declared most of the Jordan Valley a “closed military area” from which the local Palestinian population is barred. However, Israeli settlements — established in violation of international law — continue to expand and Israeli settlers are allowed to move freely and use vast quantities of water.

While in Humsa and Hadidiya every single home is slated for destruction and the Palestinian villagers have to bring water for their basic needs from 20 kilometres away, Israeli settlements only a few hundreds of meters away, have well-watered gardens and swimming pools.”

As one resident asked, “We are doing no harm to Israel. We have rights to our land. Where are the settlers’ documents for land rights?” Evidently, his question fell on deaf ears – Israeli bulldozers have demolished homes in five Palestinian villages in the Jordan Valley in the past week. Another was destroyed in East Jerusalem.

Needless to say, even as Palestinian houses are being demolished, new homes for Israeli settlers in the West Bank continue to be built. In the first four months of this year, active permanent construction was seen in at least 12 settlement outposts, and no outposts were removed. In the same period,

• Instances of development and construction were noted in 86 out of the 121 official settlements in the West Bank

• Construction or development was noted in 45 of the settlements situated east of the fence

• Construction or development was noted in 41 of the settlements situated west of the fence

• 32% of the sites on which either construction or development is being carried out are situated east of the fence

• 65 tenders for new residential units in the settlements have been published since the beginning of the year

Meanwhile, three years after the International Court decision that ruled it illegal, construction continues on Israel’s annexation wall. The wall poses huge problems for Palestinians by restricting access to fields, workplaces, relatives and hospitals – as one Palestinian from Abu Dis, separated from his workshop by the wall, exclaims, “It is easier for me to go to Venezuela than to the Damascus Gate”. In June, the OCHA released a report (.pdf) on the humanitarian, social and economic consequences of the wall on East Jerusalem, which has cut off from the West Bank. Some of its findings:

• Palestinians from the West Bank require permits to visit
the six specialist hospitals inside Jerusalem. The time and
difficulty this entails has resulted in an up to 50% drop in
the number of patients visiting these hospitals.

• Entire families have been divided by the Barrier. Husbands
and wives are separated from each other, their children and
other relatives.

• Palestinian Muslims and Christians can no longer freely visit
religious sites in Jerusalem. Permits are needed and are
increasingly difficult to obtain.

• School and university students struggle each day through
checkpoints to reach institutions that are located on the
other side of the Barrier.

• Entire communities, such as the 15,000 people in the
villages of the Bir Nabala enclave, are totally surrounded
by the Barrier. Movement in and out is through a tunnel
to Ramallah which passes under a motorway restricted for
Israeli vehicles only.

The OCHA notes that the barrier, only 20% of which will follow the Green Line when completed, has now become a “de facto border”, which is exactly what it was intended to be.

If any doubt remains about Israel’s sincerity, one need only look at the intensive pressure it is applying to Abbas to keep him away from talks with Hamas – a step that all informed analysts (and anyone with a functioning brain in their head) agree is a necessary one for a settlement of any kind to become a meaningful prospect.

These ‘peace talks’ are pure theatre, a political distraction from the reality on the ground – a reality that continues to changed, actively and deliberately, by an Israel intent on making the occupation an irreversible ‘fact’. The point is this: you and I may be fooled by the diplomatic niceties, vigorous handshakes and plastic smiles, but those Palestinians who daily experience Israel’s continuing efforts to expand and entrench its control over the occupied territories will not. They’re not that stupid.

Further reading:

- ‘Permit Sharon A Comatose Smile…‘, Tony Karon

- ‘Why Oblivion Looms For Abbas‘, Mark Perry

- ‘The road to peace runs through Jerusalem‘, Gideon Rachman

- ‘Mahmoud Abbas’ war against the Palestinian people‘, Ali Abunimah

- ‘The Middle East Peace Process Scam‘, Henry Siegman



17 Responses to “A New Hope?”  

  1. 1 Art

    Exactly why is Israel obligated to permit free entry to its hospitals to ANYONE, let alone a people who has vowed Israel’s destruction? Why is it so terrible that Palestinians need a passport and to go through document control to visit their holy sites?

  2. Firstly, as the occupying country, Israel has a duty of care. Secondly, who said they were Israel’s hospitals? The hospital discussed above is in Jenin. If you’re talking about the hospitals in Jerusalem – well, I’m not sure whether they’re in East or West Jerusalem. East Jerusalem is occupied Palestinian territory. In any event, as I say, there is a duty of care. Thirdly, who has “vowed Israel’s destruction”? Did the woman who died trying to reach Jenin hospital “vow Israel’s destruction”? Is it then OK that she was made to die, perhaps unnecessarily? As to your last question – read the report. The point is that Palestinians need permits from Israel to visit them, and those permits are hard to come by.

  3. OK, I checked – all six hospitals are in East Jerusalem, i.e. occupied Palestinian territory.

  4. 4 GingerZilla

    ON the basis of the first comment why not prevent all Muslims from recieving hospital treatment on a worldwide basis for haven’t a few of them vowed destruction to infidels?

    The statement about the regime in Israel (and not that misquote about Israel as a whole) – the world would breath easier if that regime were wiped from the pages of time like other BRutal repesive regimes.

    The arguments coming from zionists not only defy belief but defy humanity as a whole.

    Another excellent piece by the way

  5. Cheers. (Yeh, it was a stupid comment).

  6. 6 babarum

    It is so obvious that you are a racist neocon pretending to be a liberal. If I looked even more it would be difficult to find someone more racist and right wing fascist.

    the funny part is you claim to be otherwise but many see right through you.

  7. Who’s a racist neocon?

  8. 8 babarum

    heathlander, who else?

  9. Great post Jamie. I have been trying to find contact information for you, but don’t see it. Can you email me?

  10. babarum: I’m ‘heathlander’. In what way am I a “racist neocon”?

    dave: okeydoke. (It’s weird – my contact info usually appears on the bottom of the site, but it seems to have disappeared. I’ll go hunt it down.)

  11. Excellent article from Middle East expert Henry Siegman in the latest London Review of Books, entitled ‘The Middle East Peace Process Sham‘. To give a flavour:

    “Both Bush and Olmert have spoken endlessly of their commitment to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict, but it is their determination to bring down Hamas rather than to build up a Palestinian state that animates their new-found enthusiasm for making Abbas look good. That is why their expectation that Hamas will be defeated is illusory. Palestinian moderates will never prevail over those considered extremists, since what defines moderation for Olmert is Palestinian acquiescence in Israel’s dismemberment of Palestinian territory. In the end, what Olmert and his government are prepared to offer Palestinians will be rejected by Abbas no less than by Hamas, and will only confirm to Palestinians the futility of Abbas’s moderation and justify its rejection by Hamas. Equally illusory are Bush’s expectations of what will be achieved by the conference he recently announced would be held in the autumn (it has now been downgraded to a ‘meeting’). In his view, all previous peace initiatives have failed largely, if not exclusively, because Palestinians were not ready for a state of their own. The meeting will therefore focus narrowly on Palestinian institution-building and reform, under the tutelage of Tony Blair, the Quartet’s newly appointed envoy.

    In fact, all previous peace initiatives have got nowhere for a reason that neither Bush nor the EU has had the political courage to acknowledge. That reason is the consensus reached long ago by Israel’s decision-making elites that Israel will never allow the emergence of a Palestinian state which denies it effective military and economic control of the West Bank. To be sure, Israel would allow – indeed, it would insist on – the creation of a number of isolated enclaves that Palestinians could call a state, but only in order to prevent the creation of a binational state in which Palestinians would be the majority.”

  12. It is hard not to see this as a classic bit of Olmert spinning.

    First someone from the government ‘leaks’ a report to Haaretz suggesting that the PM is considering offering 95% of the West Bank for a Palestinian state via a landswap. Which, as Jeff Harper points out doesn’t actually have any logic in any case.

    Anyway, this is picked up by various international media, and is interpreted as another ‘reasonable’ offer by Israel which is quickly condemned by the Palestinian leadership, which goes to show who the reasonable guys are around here and who are the terrorists.

    Next day, Olmert denies the Haaretz report saying that he would never consider such a proposterous idea, placating his own zionist hardliners who aren’t actually interested in peace at all. It is all over various editions of domestic Israeli media, but barely reported internationally.

    Like the circus swindler, playing with cups and coins, he seems able to offer and yet at the same time not-offer the great prize of peace. Meanwhile the Palestinians yet again look like they’re missing a fantastic opportunity when that opportunity never really existed anyway.

  13. Right – it’s all spin, designed to make Israel look reasonable and the Palestinians look rejectionist, even though the reality is the precise opposite. It’s worth recalling what Dov Weisglass, advisor to Sharon and later to Olmert, said back in 2004:

    ‘”The disengagement plan is the preservative of the sequence principle. It is the bottle of formaldehyde within which you place the president’s formula so that it will be preserved for a very lengthy period. The disengagement is actually formaldehyde. It supplies the amount of formaldehyde that’s necessary so that there will not be a political process with the Palestinians…

    The disengagement plan makes it possible for Israel to park conveniently in an interim situation that distances us as far as possible from political pressure. It legitimizes our contention that there is no negotiating with the Palestinians. There is a decision here to do the minimum possible in order to maintain our political situation. The decision is proving itself. It is making it possible for the Americans to go to the seething and simmering international community and say to them, `What do you want.’”

    He was talking about the “disengagement” from Gaza, but the basic point is applicable to the phony “peace process” as well – Israel isn’t looking for peace, it is looking for a bantustan solution or,in the meantime, a maintainenance of the status quo.

    And in any event, it doesn’t matter if the Palestinians get “95%” of the West Bank if the 5% that goes to Israel is positioned such as to split the Palestinian “state” into de facto non-contiguous cantons, which is all that has been offered thus far.

  14. 14 Narvir

    Ah another wonderful article, shame you’re a racist neocon though.


  1. 1 Settling the issue « The Heathlander
  2. 2 Settling the issue2 « The Heathlander
  3. 3 Olmert envisions occupation lasting at least another couple of decades « The Heathlander

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