Everyone, it seems, is talking about the upcoming invasion of Iran. Mark Cliffe, chief economist at the ING Group, argues that,

“Financial markets are assuming that an Israeli and/or US attack on Iran is unlikely. However, bellicose rhetoric from Israel and an imminent build-up of US forces in the Gulf suggest that they could be in for a shock,”

while the Secretary General of the Arab League, Amr Moussa, has warned that a U.S. attack on Iran is a “50/50 proposition”. Sam Gardiner, a retired colonel with the U.S. Air Force, writes ominously that,

“The pieces are moving. They’ll be in place by the end of February. The United States will be able to escalate military operations against Iran.”

Col. Gardiner predicts that

“As one of the last steps before a strike, we’ll see USAF tankers moved to unusual places, like Bulgaria. These will be used to refuel the US-based B-2 bombers on their strike missions into Iran. When that happens, we’ll only be days away from a strike.”

Worryingly, a Bulgarian news agency today reported that “American forces could be using their two USAF bases in Bulgaria and one at Romania’s Black Sea coast to launch an attack on Iran in April”. “The USAF’s positioning of vital refuelling facilities for its B-2 bombers in unusual places, including Bulgaria, falls within the perspective of such an attack,” the report continued. The news agency cited Col. Gardiner, referred to as a “US secret service officer stationed in Bulgaria”, as its source.

Paul Craig Roberts writes how the “entire world” knows of the planned attack on Iran, and describes how, at the January World Economic Forum conference in Davos, the “Secretary General of the League of Arab States and bankers and businessmen from such US allies as Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates all warned of the coming attack and its catastrophic consequences for the Middle East and the world.”

Writing for Global Research, General Leonid Ivashov, a former chief of the General Affairs department in the Soviet Union’s Ministry of Defense and former Joint Chief of Staff of the Russian armies (and much more besides), states confidently that,

“the US will use nuclear weapon against Iran. This will be the second case of the use of nuclear weapons in combat after the 1945 US attack on Japan.”

General Ivashov continues,

“Within weeks from now, we will see the informational warfare machine start working. The public opinion is already under pressure. There will be a growing anti-Iranian militaristic hysteria, new information leaks, disinformation, etc.”

John Rockefeller, chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, agrees, saying, “[t]o be honest, I’m afraid it will be Iraq all over again.”

Michael Chossudovsky, Professor of Economics at the University of Ottawa and Director of the Center for Research on Globalization, notes that the 2005 Doctrine for Joint Nuclear Operations (.pdf) (’the current U.S. doctrine on when and under which circumstances to use nuclear weapons’, to quote Wikipedia) explicitly permits the preventive use of nuclear weapons:

“Military forces must prepare to counter weapons and capabilities that exist or will exist in the near term even if no immediate likely scenarios for war are at hand. To maximize deterrence of WMD use, it is essential US forces prepare to use nuclear weapons effectively and that US forces are determined to employ nuclear weapons if necessary to prevent or retaliate against WMD use [my emphasis]“,

and comments further that at no point since the dropping of the atomic bomb on Hiroshima in 1945 has “humanity been closer to the unthinkable”: a “nuclear holocaust”.

Now, I personally do not know for sure whether the U.S. or Israel will attack Iran. It certainly looks likely and, with President Ahmadinejad coming under increasing pressure at home, the window of opportunity for military action is closing fast. What’s more interesting is General Ivashov’s description of the essential role the media and the “informational warfare machine” more generally will play in facilitating an attack on Iran. As we know from the Iraq war and countless aggressions before it, the mainstream American and British press have a tendency (or, more accurately, a compulsion) to, in times of war, revert to a stance of unquestioning support for power. An academic study into media performance in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq found that “coverage mainly served to reinforce official justifications for war” and described the tendency of the media to “accept the official position” which “enabled the coalition’s moral case for the war to go by default.”

A brief examination of current reporting on Iran illustrates that, true to form, media coverage currently serves to reinforce official justification for conflict with Iran.

This BBC article, for example, describes how, “Some Western nations fear Iran is trying to build nuclear weapons.” Then, in a ridiculous attempt at journalistic “balance”, the BBC provides a countering view: “Tehran insists its programme is for peaceful uses only.” Except, of course, this isn’t the correct counter-view at all. Surely it would be far more sensible to quote the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the respected (though by no means impartial) authority on this issue, which has repeatedly stated that there is zero evidence of any secret Iranian nuclear weapons programme. This misleading juxtaposition of views about a possible Iranian nuclear weapons programme, which gives the false impression that it is just Iran’s word against the U.S.’, is standard throughout mainstream reporting.

Anne Penketh’s recent article in The Independent is a good example of another technique employed by the media that is critical to persuading the public to support a war: demonisation of the enemy. In this case, Penketh (mis)quotes President Ahmadinejad as threatening to “wipe Israel off the map”. As Professor Juan Cole and several others have repeatedly pointed out, Ahmadinejad said no such thing. It is interesting that this misquote is cited so often by the media, whilst explicit threats made against Iran, for example Israeli Deputy Defense Minister Ephraim Sneh’s promise to prevent Iran’s nuclear programme “at all costs”, are barely reported. Penketh’s piece also illustrates perfectly the way a seemingly balanced and objective article actually serves to restrict debate. You’ll notice that Penketh discusses whether or not an attack on Iran would be “productive”, what the likely Iranian response would be and the likelihood of a “regional war” developing as a consequence. International law is not mentioned once. The fact that, by threatening Iran, Israel and the U.S. are violating the UN Charter is not considered relevant, whilst the official stated motive of U.S./Israeli “concern” over Iran (that they are worried about its nuclear programme) is simply taken for granted. Relevant history is not even mentioned, let alone used to evaluate what the actual motives for aggression against Iran might be.

This should all be familiar from the run-up to the invasion of Iraq, when the media restricted the limits of debate to whether or not the war would succeed, whether or not Iraq had nuclear weapons, how the war should be fought and so on. Rational discussion of underlying U.S. foreign policy objectives in the region, using relevant history to analyse statements of intent made by Bush and Blair, was almost non-existent, as was any suggestion that even if Iraq did have nuclear weapons, military aggression would still be unjustified.

So far I have focused on the bias evident in what the media has reported about the Iran “crisis”. But, equally important (if not more), is what hasn’t been reported. There is, for example, no analysis of the very real threat Iran faces from Israel, the U.S. and its neighbours (Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iraq). There is virtually no attempt at understanding things from Iran’s point of view, and little awareness is shown of the outrageous hypocrisy of the U.S./Israeli condemnation of Iran’s nuclear programme. International law is treated as if it didn’t exist, whilst (as with Iraq) no attempt is made to discuss the possible motives for an attack on Iran by examining the relevant historical record. As with Iraq, “oil” is considered a dirty word when discussing possible reasons for invading. Whilst the media regularly quotes hostile rhetoric from Ahmadinejad, it almost never discloses the fact that, in reality, the President of Iran has no power whatsoever over matters of foreign or nuclear policy. He was elected on a platform of domestic economic reforms and his “fiery” speeches are simply an attempt to distract the Iranian public from the fact that he has not fulfilled his promises. As the increasing domestic political pressure on him shows, it isn’t working.

The “Iran crisis”, manufactured by Israel and the U.S., can be summed up thus: Iran has been accused by the U.S. and Israel of developing nuclear weapons, despite a complete lack of evidence to support this assertion. The NPT, to which Iran (unlike Israel, India and Pakistan) is a signatory, guarantees the inalienable right of a country to develop civilian nuclear technology and, as far as we know, Iran is simply exercising this right. The IAEA has repeatedly confirmed that it has no evidence of a secret Iranian nuclear weapons programme. Iran has largely complied with IAEA weapons inspectors, voluntarily submitting itself to the most rigorous inspections of any state in history. The main reason for thinking Iran is trying to develop nuclear weapons is that, as military historian Martin van Crevald put it, if they aren’t, “they’re crazy”. In other words, considering the major threat Israel and the U.S. pose to Iran, it would make sense for Iran to want a nuclear deterrent. Even if Iran is developing a nuclear weapon, its nuclear technology is “archaic” and its efforts to produce enriched uranium are “in chaos”. Experts estimate that Iran will not be able to manufacture a nuclear weapon for at least 10 years.

Israel and the U.S. have engaged in a persistent and aggressive campaign of verbal and, more recently, physical threats against Iran, in violation of international law. Whereas Iran has repeatedly called for the Middle East to be a nuclear weapons-free zone (a policy opposed by Israel and the U.S.) and denounced nuclear weapons as “un-Islamic”, the official policy of both Israel and the U.S. allows for preventive military action including, in the case of the United States, a preventive nuclear strike. Both Israel and the U.S. have a long history of aggression (the U.S. most recently in Iraq and Somalia, Israel in Lebanon and the Occupied Territories). Iran, on the other hand, has not attacked a country outside its borders for 200 years. Even if Iran had a nuclear weapon, it would not use it against Israel, because to do so would, in effect, be an act of suicide.

The U.S. claims Iran is “interfering” in Iraq, and has even gone so far as to authorise U.S. troops to “kill or capture” any Iranian intelligence agents they discover in Iraq. As Juan Cole points out, “no hard evidence” has yet been made public to show that Iran is providing high-powered weaponry to forces in Iraq. At any rate, Cole continues, Iran would only be arming Shi’ite groups, and “99 perecent of all attacks on U.S. troops occur in Sunni Arab areas and are carried out by Baathist or Sunni fundamentalist (Salafi) guerrilla groups.” These groups receive outside help from countries allied to the U.S., like Saudi Arabia. As Cole notes, “Washington has yet to denounce Saudi aid to the Sunni insurgents who are killing U.S. troops.” In any event, the idea that America could dare criticise anyone else for intervening in Iraq is laughable. It is the U.S. that illegally invaded Iraq almost four years ago, and it is the U.S. that is maintaining an occupation against the wishes of the Iraqi population. In the past six weeks, U.S. forces have twice abducted Iranian officials inside Iraq. Iran has refrained from responding in a similar manner.

The U.S.’ interests in attacking Iran have nothing whatsoever to do with security and everything to do with the control of energy resources and a maintenance of U.S. hegemony in the Middle East.

Compare this reality with the picture provided by the media: Iran, a “belligerent” and “defiant” state that is very likely seeking to wipe out the Jews, is trying to develop nuclear weapons. The U.S. and Israel, concerned for their safety, are attempting to stop this from happening using diplomacy and sanctions. However, if all else fails, they may use force as a last resort.

The gap between the image and the reality (to borrow a phrase) is as massive as it is unsurprising.

The consequences of a strike, conventional or otherwise, on Iran would likely be devastating. We cannot rely on the corporate media to challenge power and to properly inform the people about a future war with Iran. Indeed, all signs indicate that the propaganda machine is already working flat-out to prepare the public for war (”watering the turf”, as one British military source puts it). It falls to us, as citizens in the most powerful democracies in the world, to ensure that our money and our lives are not used to fight yet another unnecessary, immoral and illegal war for the benefit of a tiny, elite minority. Let’s just hope we are not already too late.



9 Responses to “Propaganda Machine Working Flat-Out To Prepare Us For War With Iran”  

  1. 1 DavidByron

    That’s all ok except for the part about the propaganda machine working “flat out”. It certainly is not over here in the US as far as I can see, and my understanding was that the UK was not likely to participate in another war of aggression at this time.

    Think about the level of exposure that the Iraq war got. Bush was playing it up for at least a year at rates exceeding the current prominance of Iran. Where is the testimony before the UN with the faked satalite pictures? Where is the Secretary of State going on about “mushroom clouds”? Where is “thery kill their own” rhetoric analogous to the “Saddam gassed his own people” lie? Where is the feminist push to rescue women in Iran from whatever we’re led to beleive they are suffering from? Where are the lies about wars that ran has been involved in? Where are the claims about how Iran can bomb Europe within 60 minutes?

    Bush recently had another lying SOTU address. That would be the logical place to start ramping up rhetoric for another invasion but Bush is instead having to defend the war he’s already trying to fight in Iraq.

    And what is the picture in the UK? Do you really think Blair could sign on to another war of aggression while he’s promising to cut from Iraq?

    Just as you have to move the fleets and the airplanes to the right places before a war so you also have to move public opinion. I just don’t see any real sign of that. If you go back about six months I think there was more anti-Iranian propaganda going around. Politically it just isn’t possible right now. Even the Republicans are turning on Bush and his hugely unpopular (because he’s losing) war in Iraq. Who is going to support another war? Republicans are already running from the Iraq war. They just lost the election by what counts in America today as a landslide victory with the Iraq war and Bush’s poor handling of it the biggest issue. Things have got much worse since then and what is more, now that corporate elites and Republicans have turned against Bush on Iraq in some numbers the corporate media has become able to mention the anti-war position.

    There are limits on presidential power even now. If Bush were to move to war against Iran even with some trumped up cassus belli it would put pressure on Republican national politicians to come out for or against Bush’s wars which is a position none of them want. Bush would be killing his own party’s electoral chances for 2008. Bush’s administration pretty much lives only to try and keep getting Republicans re-elected so this would have to be a big change for him in terms of his practises.

    Of course if you just ignore all this by saying Bush is “insane” then you can keep saying war against Iran is imminent — but people have been predicting it now for over a year and it’s never looked less imminent in that time as far as I can see. Rather they may have wanted war but it looks like the window of opportunity for that war is slipping away and has now almost gone.

    As for the UK — well I don’t follow it so much but I had thought the chances of Blair supporting such a move would be pretty much zero at this point. What do you think? Hasn’t he actually said he wouldn’t?

  2. Well, I think the propaganda machine is certainly working very hard. Think about how massive the difference is between the picture of the “Iran crisis” we get from the media and the reality. I think the propaganda machine is working flat-out (or, at the very least, very hard) to prepare us for any war with Iran. It’s getting us used to the idea of regime change, to the idea of an attack (even a nuclear one). It’s demonising the enemy and refusing to consider things from Iran’s point of view. It has already resorted more than once to lying about Iran to whip up some hysteria (the IAEA, you’ll remember, called a U.S. report on Iran “outrageous” and dishonest).

    As to who would support a war – well, accoridng to polls, 51% of Americans support a war on Iran if diplomacy fails. If the aim of diplomacy is to get Iran to stop enrichment, I think diplomacy will fail. And that’s before a “smoking gun”-type event, that I think would be pretty easy to conjure up (say, by blaming a particularly deadly attack on U.S. troops in Iraq on Iranian forces).

    Bush’s recent SOTU speech did threaten Iran. He said he would ’search out and destroy’ the enemy networks in Iraq (referring to Iran).

    As to Britain – no, I don’t think there is much chance of us supporting a war on Iran with anything more than rhetoric.

  3. 3 DavidByron

    Your comments about the rhetoric are also true of North Korea. Do you think an attack on North Korea is imminent? It seems to me that there is a certain “background level” of propaganda which does not indicate any preperation for hostilities.

    accoridng to polls, 51% of Americans support a war on Iran if diplomacy fails

    That means they don’t support a war but have been made confused about the issue. It’s similar to the proportion that said they were against an attack on Iraq unless it had UN backing. Similar sort of position I think. How many want a war with Iran regardless? Before Bush attacked Iraq that figure had to go up to at least a third of America. Bush also had bipartisan backing for his war and the support of the UK and various other less prominent allies. He had made it appear that he had exhausted so-called “diplomatic” options through the UN resolutions.

    Another way to put it is what point do you see the Iran preparations reaching here? Do you think they are at 2002 levels or 2003 levels? To me they seem at best to be 2002 levels.

  4. I think we’re closer than 2002 levels. I don’t think the kind of propaganda we’re seeing can be described as “background propaganda”. The U.S. is actively deploying forces in the Gulf aimed at Iran, and the media continues to portray this as self-defence! The estimate that we will attack by April seems to me like a good one. We’ve already started moving the pieces into place, the number of hysterical reports about Iranian interference in Iraq and responsibility for harming U.S. forces in Iraq has recently started to rise very rapidly, and the window of opportunity is closing – Ahmadinejad is coming under intense political pressure at home, and if he is kicked out of office, the case for war would begin to look very weak.

    I’m not saying we’re definitely going to war. I do, however, see all the familiar signs.

  5. 5 DavidByron

    Well if there’s no invasion I better get HUGE kudos from scores of people who are telling me differently. I don’t like to be the voice suggesting the US government is NOT going to bomb someone. Feels all wrong :)

  6. If you’re right, I’ll be happy to give you all the kudos in the world. However…

    - US Moves May Trigger War With Iran
    - US Warns Iran to Stop Aiding Iraqi Insurgents
    - Report: US Plans Strike Against Iran
    - Retired US General: for Every IED in Iraq, a Bomb Should Go Off in Iran
    - General Says US Has Proof Iran Arming Iraqi Militias

    - Juan Cole on the American anti-Iran propaganda campaign
    - US fighter jets to patrol Iran-Iraq border, report says
    - “Building a Case for War” with Iran: Jafarzadeh and the Downing Street Dossier Redux
    - The War on Iran (which, apparently, has already started).
    - Stepped Up US Preparations For War Against Iran
    - Single misstep could trigger U.S.-Iran war, experts say
    - Bolton for regime change in Tehran
    - “Israel will not tolerate Iran going nuclear and military sources say it will use tactical strikes unless Iran abandons its programme.”
    - Israel raises nuclear stakes with Iran

    And so on and so on and so on.

    ————————————————————————–

    - Another useful article: Israeli Internal Assessments of Iran Belie Threat Rhetoric

    Virtually the only sensible remark I’ve heard been made recently is this, from French President Jacques Chirac:

    “[An Iranian nuclear weapon would not be] very dangerous…Where will it drop it, this bomb? On Israel?”

    I disagree, of course, that nuclear proliferation is not a grave threat, but it’s comforting to know that some people in positions of power are not either generating or getting carried away by this notion of a genocidal, nuclear-armed Iran.

    In any event, he later retracted it. Shame.

  7. 7 DavidByron

    Yes but you’d need to qualify this approach by comparing it to how easily you can get similar articles about North Korea now, or how many more such articles you could find about Iraq in 2002.

  8. Well, it definitely seems clear that the rhetoric has been escalated far higher regarding Iran than N. Korea. Moreover, U.S. battleships and aircraft and missile systems have been moved into the Persian Gulf (a third carrier strike group is, apparently, on its way). The fact that Bush is denying he wants war is meaningless – he did the same about Iraq.

    Theat U.S. is gearing up for war with Iran seems obvious. Whether or not it is a bluff to try and scare Iran into submission or whether it is sincere is less clear – most informed observers seem to think its the latter, but at any rate gun-boat diplomacy often leads to war, even if war was not the original intention.


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